On the first, I posted some unfounded rumors about QuickTime updates during MacWorld. As promised, now that the keynote is over I’ll analyze how accurate my predictions are. (Since I’m trying to build a good track record, I will conveniently itemize those predictions in such a way that it looks like I did better than I really did.)

1. New version of QuickTime
   Yes! After the keynote, QuickTime 7.4 was released via Software Update.
2. Free QuickTime Pro
   No! The Apple Store still lists the upgrade at $29.99.
3. Free MPEG-2 Component
   No! It retains a $19.99 price tag.
4. VC-1 Support
   Sort of! While QuickTime itself did not gain VC-1, this was apparently introduced in the Leopard DVDPlayback framework. Run strings -3 /System/Library/Frameworks/DVDPlayback.framework/DVDPlayback | grep “VC1″ for some evidence of this.
5. Acquisition of Telestream
   No! Well, at least there have been no announcements of this nature.
6. 64-bit Compatible QuickTime APIs
   Sort of! Apparently I need to brush up on my QuickTime APIs. Apple has been doing this with QTKit, which offers 64-bit wrappers to 32-bit QuickTime functions. I’ll count this one against me for ignorance.
7. 64-bit QuickTime for Windows
   Yes! iTunes 7.6 now supports Windows Vista 64-bit, according to the requirements, and properly supports syncing with iPhones.
8. Keynote’s Overall Digital Media Theme
   Yes! The MacBook Air, AppleTV updates, and iTMS movie rentals were all part of this theme.

So there we have it! I got 3.5/8 predictions correct which gives me a higher prediction accuracy than ThinkSecret will have all year.